Growth Patterns of Ethnic Groups in Bexar County With Dynamic Leslie Models

Authors

Judith Arriaza, University of the Incarnate Word
Zhanbo Yang, University of the Incarnate Word
Flor de María García-Wukovits, University of the Incarnate Word

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to modify the Leslie model with a dynamic matrix for better population projections in Bexar County, where UIW is located and the authors reside. A dynamic matrix was used to improve the static Leslie model used in the previous study since human population growth is dynamic and complex. The matrix was constructed with functions that modeled the birth rates and survival rates. This allowed the rates to change from year to year. The population projections using the dynamic matrix were compared to the real population data and the static matrix. The researcher concluded that the dynamic matrix produced good population projections for the ethnic groups in Bexar County when compared with actual census data. Some preliminary projections were also made for the election cycles in the immediate and mid-range future.

Recommended Citation

Arriaza, Judith; Yang, Zhanbo; and García-Wukovits, Flor de María (2014). Growth Patterns of Ethnic Groups in Bexar County With Dynamic Leslie Models, Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM), Vol. 9, Iss. 1, Article 26.
Available at: https://digitalcommons.pvamu.edu/aam/vol9/iss1/26